Wednesday, April 11, 2012

2012 Stanley Cup Playoff Predictions

As is my custom every April, it's time for me to post my picks for the Stanley Cup Playoffs.  Last season, I came up a single game short of successfully predicting the Stanley Cup champion for the third year running, but compared to how my March Madness brackets have fared in recent years, I think I've got a pretty good track record with predicting the Stanley Cup Playoffs. 

The sixteen playoff teams are seeded as follows:

Eastern Conference: 
  1. New York Rangers (Atlantic Division Champion) - 109 points 
  2. Boston Bruins (Northeast Division Champion) - 102
  3. Florida Panthers (Southeast Division Champion) - 94 
  4. Pittsburgh Penguins - 108 
  5. Philadelphia Flyers - 103
  6. New Jersey Devils - 102
  7. Washington Capitals - 92
  8. Ottawa Senators - 92
Western Conference: 
  1. Vancouver Canucks (Northwest Division Champion) - 111
  2. St. Louis Blues (Central Division Champion) - 109
  3. Phoenix Coyotes (Pacific Division Champion) - 97
  4. Nashville Predators - 104
  5. Detroit Red Wings - 102
  6. Chicago Blackhawks - 101
  7. San Jose Sharks - 96
  8. Los Angeles Kings - 95
A quick review of the playoff format for those playing along at home:
  • Seeding is determined by total number of points earned in an 82-game season, with 2 points given for a win, and 1 point for a loss in overtime or a shootout.  Ties are broken by most non-shootout wins.  The three division champions in each conference are automatically seeded first through third. 
  • The highest-seeded team in each conference plays the lowest-seeded team, the second-highest seed plays the second-lowest seed, and so on.  
  • Each playoff series is best-of-seven, with the higher-seeded team hosting the first, second, fifth, and seventh games, and the lower-seeded team hosting the third, fourth, and sixth games.  
  • The remaining playoff teams are re-seeded after each round.  
  • Seeding in the Stanley Cup Final is based on most points, and is not affected by standing within either team's conference.  
And now, on to my picks.

Eastern Conference Quarterfinals: 
Rangers over Senators in 5 games
Bruins over Capitals in 4
Devils over Panthers in 5
Penguins over Flyers in 6

Western Conference Quarterfinals: 
Canucks over Kings in 6
Blues over Sharks in 5
Coyotes over Blackhawks in 7
Predators over Red Wings in 6

Eastern Conference Semifinals: 
Rangers over Devils in 6
Penguins over Bruins in 7

Western Conference Semifinals: 
Canucks over Predators in 6
Blues over Coyotes in 4  

Eastern Conference Finals: 
Penguins over Rangers in 5

Western Conference Finals: 
Blues over Canucks in 7

Stanley Cup Final: 
Penguins over Blues in 7 

As always, feel free to use the comments to question my rationale (in a civilized manner, please!) and/or make your own picks. 

Stay frosty, y'all, and GO PENS!  

B-)

Thursday, March 22, 2012

Healthcare Rant

Tonight, I'd like to talk about healthcare.  No, not Obamacare or health insurance or anything of the political nature like that.  I'm here to rant about my personal experiences with doctors and health care services lately.  Fair warning, though, there may be a few things that might gross you out, so those of you out there in Reader Land who are rather squeamish might want to skip ahead to the ninth paragraph, or just skip over this post entirely. 

My story begins one evening last June, when I suddenly started feeling a slight pain in my nether regions, as if someone had hit me below the belt.  It went away after I drank a few glasses of water and got a good night's sleep, so I thought nothing more of it.  But one Saturday night late in October, the pain came back much worse.   I couldn't sit or stand without feeling like someone had put my testicles in a vice and punched me in the kidneys.  This was where I made my first mistake, in that I should have just gone to a hospital and been done with it, but it never occurred to me to do that.  But the closest hospital that I know of is half an hour away in Anderson (someone correct me if I'm wrong, for future reference), I don't have a car, and I didn't know if anyone could drive out late at night on a weekend to give me a ride.  It wasn't a life-or-death emergency, so I figured I could wait til Monday to see a doctor.  I also needed to get a new prescription for my asthma medications anyway, since the one I had with Clemson's health services had expired after I dropped out of grad school.  I did a Google search for family medical doctors in the area, and found one called AnMed Health Clemson Family Medicine - part of the larger AnMed Health system in Anderson - that was located in downtown Clemson fairly close to where I live. 

So the next Monday, I had my girlfriend drive me to the doctor's office.  Here's where I made my second mistake - had it occurred to me earlier that my girlfriend could drive me to places that were out of town, I could have looked over a wider range for a doctor that would have given me much better service, or just asked my girlfriend which doctor she and her family went to.  Back to the story.  Since I was a new patient, they wouldn't let me see a doctor right away.  Instead, they had me fill out a bunch of paperwork in which I had to list pretty much everything short of my great-grandmother's weight on the moon in kilograms.  Under "Reasons for your visit today", I clearly indicated both my reasons - the pain in my groin, and to get a prescription for my asthma meds.  You'd think that if they saw the former of the two reasons listed on the form, they'd have thought it urgent enough to let me see a doctor right away.  Nope.  Instead, the receptionist just said, "Okay, we'll call you to schedule an appointment." 

I thought, "Okay, I guess I can wait another day or two."  But a month came and went, and no phone call came from the doctor's office.  I finally called them to ask what was going on, and they told me that - you're not going to believe this - they weren't taking new patients anymore.  So I was right back where I started, until two days later, when they called me back and told me that, since one of the doctors there had decided that he actually could take another new patient, and they already had my new patient paperwork on file, they could still schedule an appointment for me.  The catch was, they were completely booked through the entire month of December, so the earliest they could fit me in was the day after New Year's.  I thought, fair enough.  I've made it this long without my meds, and the pain had only recurred once or twice, so what's another few weeks? 

So I finally saw the doctor, I went through the whole turn-your-head-and-cough routine, and he told me that I probably had a hernia, because he felt swelling in my inguinal regions.  He said I'd probably have to have surgery to fix it, but first he wanted me to get an ultrasound so we'd know for sure whether or not I actually had a hernia.  He told me they'd call me in a few days to set up an appointment for an ultrasound at AnMed's center in Anderson. 

Two weeks went by, and I didn't hear anything from the doctor's office.  It wasn't until I called them to remind them about it that they actually scheduled an appointment for me.  So I had my girlfriend drive me to this place to get my ultrasound.  I waited another two weeks for them to call back with the results.  When they didn't call, I had to call them to ask if they had the results.  The doctor said that he didn't have all the images from the ultrasound, so he'd try and track them down and call me back.  (That right there was a sign that there was something fishy about this place.)  So the next day, the doctor calls me, and says he got all the images, and that he found no signs of a hernia, but he did detect something called hydroceles, which (as I later found out from Wikipedia) are basically little sacs of accumulated fluid, around my testicles, that may or may not have contributed to the pain I had been experiencing.  He told me that they were only benign cysts, and probably wouldn't require surgery unless they started causing bigger problems, but he wanted to have another ultrasound done so make absolutely sure there wasn't a hernia.  And once again, they didn't bother calling me back to schedule an appointment, so I once again had to prod them into doing so. 

So I went in for a second ultrasound, and the next week, I got a call from the doctor's office saying that they didn't get a full scan of my inguinal region, only a scan of my testicles, so I had to go for a third ultrasound.  Seriously?  It was already awkward enough the first time getting poked and prodded in a very sensitive place with a little scanner that's covered in some icky gel that, well, does not easily wipe off, but three times?  All because some dumbass messed up the last scan!  After I got prodded and probed some more for a good fifteen minutes, they finally had to call in the head radiologist.  After taking one more look, she told me that I didn't have a hernia, and that it was probably just a pulled muscle in my groin, and the swelling that the doctor had felt was just the muscle being swollen from soreness.  The doctor called me later that afternoon, and told me that they were going to schedule an appointment with a urologist in Anderson so they could figure out for sure what was wrong with me.  When they didn't call back (are you starting to see a pattern here?) for another two weeks, I called the office to remind them that they were supposed to schedule an appointment for me. 

It's been more than a month since my last ultrasound, and I still haven't seen the urologist.  At this point, I'm not even going to bother with it.  I haven't really had any instances of severe pain down there; I just get some minor pains every once in a while, but they're not enough to really hinder me from my everyday activities.  Interestingly enough, my dad told me that his neighbor back home said his son went through somewhat the same thing that I did not too long ago - the doctor told him he had a hernia, when he had really just pulled his groin.  So basically, I went through all that trouble just for something as simple as a pulled groin. 

But that's not the end of my issues with AnMed Health.  Remember when I mentioned earlier about needing a new prescription for my asthma medications?  Well, when I went in for my initial doctor's visit back in January, the doctor told me that he would send the prescriptions in to Medco through their online system, and that I should get my meds in the mail in a week or two.  But two weeks came and went, and my meds never came.  I called the doctor to find out why there was the delay.  They said it may have been something to do with my insurance, and they'd look into it.  A few days later, I called Medco, and they told me they never received an order from the doctor.  So I called the doctor's office the next day, and the receptionist told me they'd have the doctor re-send my order.  A week later, when my meds still didn't arrive, I called back Medco, and they told me they had an order on file for me for Proventil, and that they should get the order for my Singulair in a day or two.  Okay, I thought, at least I know I'll be getting my meds pretty soon, right?  Wrong!  I called Medco last Thursday to check on the status of the order, and they told me that there was no record of the order in their system!  So I called the doctor's office and asked to speak directly with the doctor, but the receptionist told me that he was seeing a patient.  I told her that I'd called Medco and that they had no record of the prescription, and she told me that their records showed the order being sent online to Medco on February 5th.  I then called back Medco and told them about it, and they said they still couldn't find anything.  So I called the doctor's office one more time, and the receptionist said they'd call in the order again.  I called Medco one last time this afternoon to see if they got the order, and just as I suspected, they never did. 

I don't know if the problem is with the doctor or with Medco, but either way, I've just about had it up to here with not getting my meds.  This is absolute bullshit!  They're lucky that my asthma isn't really that severe, or I'd most likely be dead by now!  I've gone without my meds for about five months now.  I've never had a severe asthma attack that required me to go the emergency room; I just get wheezy and short of breath every once in a while, and I can't really do any strenuous physical activity like jogging, swimming, or biking without using my inhaler beforehand.  That's seems like a minor inconvenience at first, but remember that I don't have a car, so I have to ride my bike to get places, unless I can take the bus (which doesn't go everywhere or run all the time) or have someone else (usually my girlfriend) drive me to the places that I can't get to on foot.  Which means that: 1) I've been gaining weight from lack of exercise, and 2) I can't really apply to any jobs right now because I can't ride my bike these days (before, it was also because I thought I had a hernia when I really didn't). 

So the final score is: A misdiagnosed hernia that was most likely just a pulled groin, a $177 co-pay for the initial doctor's visit, three ultrasounds that cost $400 each (for which I haven't received any sort of bill yet), eight calls to the doctor's office and five calls to Medco that I've had to make (both of which are conservative estimates), five-plus months elapsed, zero medications received, and one very pissed-off Mike Paul, whose life has been pretty much ruined because of the negligence of one or more parties in the healthcare industry.  Let this be a warning to those of you out there in Reader Land who happen to live in the Clemson area: if you're looking for a doctor, avoid AnMed Health unless it's absolutely necessary, because from my experience with them, they do not seem to have their act together. 

I'm going to call the doctor tomorrow and see if I can get him to just write me a prescription that I can take to the local drugstore so I can actually get my meds right away.  I'm seriously considering switching to a different doctor, but I'm worried that I'll have to jump through even more hoops to get what I need.  My parents say that I should file a complaint about the doctor with the AMA or the state medical board.  I just might if this keeps up much longer.  We'll see.  Maybe I'll just move to Canada... 

Stay frosty, y'all!  B-)

Wednesday, February 22, 2012

Happy Birthday, Heinrich Hertz!

I've been sitting on the idea for this cartoon for quite a while, but I figured that there couldn't be a better day to post it than today, which I discovered, thanks to Google, is the 155th birthday of the German physicist Heinrich Rudolf Hertz, who is most famous for discovering electromagnetic waves, and for whom the the SI unit of frequency is named.  It's much easier for me to post cartoons on MikeSpace now that I have a scanner and no longer have to painstakingly draw them in Paint. 

[Click to view]
Stay frosty, y'all!

B-)

Sunday, January 22, 2012

NFL Conference Championship Predictions

What an odd and thrilling postseason its been so far...

We've seen the rise of Tebowmania in Denver with an upset win over the defending AFC champion Steelers on a single play in overtime, and its subsequent fall at the hands of the Patriots.  We've seen the Packers, a team with only one loss all season, get manhandled by the Giants, a team whose championship hopes seemed rather dim for most of the regular season.  We've seen another heavy favorite to win it all, the Saints, fall to the resurgent 49ers in a game with one of the most exciting and action-packed endings we've seen all year.  We've seen the Texans make themselves known in their first postseason appearance and put up quite a fight against the Ravens and their much-lauded defense.  And like every postseason, we've seen our share of heroes, be they familiar faces like Tom Brady and Ray Lewis, or new ones, like Demariyus Thomas, Vernon Davis, and Hakeem Nicks. 

Now we're down to the final four, but only two can go to Indianapolis to play for the ultimate prize.  Everyone wants to win for different reasons.  San Francisco's Alex Smith and Baltimore's Joe Flacco want to prove that they, too, belong among the elite quarterbacks of the NFL.  New York's Eli Manning would love to have one more Superbowl ring than his older brother.  The Patriots' Bill Belichick has yet another chance to join Pittsburgh's Chuck Noll as the winningest coach in Superbowl history.  The Niners are looking to become just the second team in the league with six Lombardi Trophies in its stadium, and coach Jim Harbaugh could make history as the first rookie head coach to win it all.  And many veteran players would love to pad their resumes - or, for a few nearing retirement, go out with a bang - with one more Superbowl ring.  Whatever the reason, you can bet that all 212 players on the four remaining teams will come hungry - it will all be a matter of who's the hungriest when Sunday comes around.

I've gone 3-for-4 in both rounds this postseason, and now there's just one thing left to do: pick the two teams who will represent their conferences in Super Bowl XLVI.

AFC Championship: Ravens at Patriots
It will be a clash of the titans on Sunday afternoon as Tom Brady and the powerful Patriots offense battle the historically dominant Ravens defense.  Brady has been his usual All-Star self this season, and threw for six touchdowns last week to tie a postseason record.  He has a dynamic array of receivers to throw to, including TE's Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez and WR Wes Welker.  All three of these guys could give Baltimore's secondary fits trying to cover them.  The Ravens will need to keep Brady under consistent pressure, a task that they've been one of the best at all season, leading the AFC with 48 sacks.  Ray Lewis, Terell Suggs, Ed Reed, and Haloti Ngata must once again make their presence felt.  On offense, look for Baltimore to rely mostly on Pro Bowl RB Ray Rice to pick up yardage on the ground, which will both slow down the game and keep the pressure off QB Joe Flacco.  The Ravens held their ground against one of the league's better defenses in the Houston Texans last week, so the Patriots' defense, which ranked second-to-last in the league overall and against the pass, should seem like a much easier opponent.  However, New England's secondary is not to be taken lightly - CB Kyle Arrington tied for the league lead in interceptions with 7 this season - and Flacco could find himself in trouble if he's not careful.  In my final analysis, the Ravens are certainly capable of handling whatever the Patriots throw at them (literally or otherwise), have won on the road and in New England in the recent past, and are much more well-rounded than the Patriots are.  It's hard to pick against New England and its offensive juggernaut, but as we've seen time and time again, it's defense that wins championships, and that's where Baltimore has the edge.
Ravens 21, Patriots 17.

NFC Championship: Giants at 49ers 
This is a really tough game to call.  I've been picking the 49ers to win the NFC for most of the season, but the Giants are starting to look more and more like the 2007 team that shocked the world and won the Superbowl.  Eli Manning has been spectacular at quarterback all season for New York, and WR Hakeem Nicks has really stepped up his game in the playoffs, having scored four touchdowns in the first two rounds.  Since the Giants' rushing attack, which was dead last in the league this season, doesn't figure to gain much ground on the Niners' top-ranked run defense, look for them to try to pick up most of their yardage through the air.  The matchup of San Francisco's DB's Carlos Rogers and Dashon Goldson versus New York's outstanding WR's Victor Cruz and Nicks will be an interesting one to watch.  Even more important will be how well the Giants' offensive line can protect Manning against the 49ers' fearsome front seven, which includes DE Justin Smith and LB's Aldon Smith, NaVorro Bowman, and Patrick Willis, and helped the Niners to tie for the league lead in takeaways with 38 this season.  The Giants have a formidable defensive front of their own, now that Osi Umenyiora and Justin Tuck are once again healthy enough to add to what Pro Bowler Jason Pierre-Paul brings to the table.  On offense, San Francisco must to get as much yardage as they can out of RB's Frank Gore and Kendall Hunter to keep the pressure off QB Alex Smith.  The Niners' passing game has been much-maligned in recent years, but Smith is having one of his best seasons yet and is showing a lot more poise under fire, and TE Vernon Davis, who caught the game-winning touchdown against the Saints last week, has become his go-to guy.  I like what the Giants have done so far this year, but I'm not going to second-guess myself here.  The Niners have a better defense - no knock on New York's, though - and their offense is more well-rounded and better suited to the hard-hitting defensive game that this figures to be. 
49ers 16, Giants 14.  

Enjoy the show, and stay frosty, y'all!

B-)

Saturday, January 14, 2012

NFL Divisional Playoff Predictions

I've never really understood why this week's round of the playoffs is called the Divisional Round.  The division champions were already decided in the regular season, and it doesn't always match two division winners against each other, either (though this season is a rare exception - the first since 2006 and only the second in the last 11+ seasons).  Wouldn't something like "AFC Semifinals" and "NFC Semifinals" be a more appropriate designation for this round?  Regardless, it's time once again for me to make my picks for the weekend, and I gotta say it was pretty hard to motivate myself to get started on this post after watching my Steelers lose a heart-breaker on Sunday evening.  I'm not a journalist, so I'm under no contractual obligation to post this, but I am under a self-imposed moral obligation to finish what I started back in September.  Don't be surprised if this is the last year I post my predictions for every game (at least with this much in-depth analysis). 

Anywhooooo... on to my picks. 

NFC Divisional: Saints at 49ers
The NFL's top offense squares off against NFC's best defense.  The San Francisco 49ers are making their first playoff appearance since 2002 thanks to first-year head coach Jim Harbaugh and the league's second-leading defense.  The Niners have perhaps the best corps of linebackers in the league, a group that includes Pro Bowler Patrick Willis, special teams standout NaVorro Bowman, and Rookie of the Year candidate Aldon Smith.  Justin Smith has been a force at defensive end this season, as have FS Dashon Goldson and CB Carlos Rogers (both of whom are going to the Pro Bowl) in the secondary.  They'll get their biggest test of the season this weekend against Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints, who looked as strong as ever on offense against Detroit last week.  The Niners' top-ranked run defense will probably take care of RB's Pierre Thomas and Darren Sproles, so the big question for San Fran will be how well they can handle the Saints' record-breaking passing game.  The best defense for the Niners may be a good offense - the longer they can slow down the game and keep Brees off the field, the better their chances will be to win the game.  Pro Bowl RB Frank Gore can certainly pound the ball, but can Alex Smith get the passing game going when he needs to?  If the Saints' 30th-ranked pass defense is any indication, I'm pretty sure he can.  The Saints have never won a playoff game on the road, and I have a feeling that this weekend will be no exception.
49ers 27, Saints 23.  

NFC Divisional: Giants at Packers 
The Giants came close to beating Green Bay in their last meeting, and if their defense keeps playing like they did in the last two weeks, they just might actually do it this time around.  It took a while before we could finally see them both in action together, but when we did, DE's Jason Pierre-Paul and Osi Umenyiora were quite a force to be reckoned with.  Nevertheless, the Giants will have their hands full with Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers and his talented corps of receivers, among them Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson, and Jermichael Finley.  On the other side, we've got Eli Manning, who has had one of his best seasons yet, and breakout WR Victor Cruz against a Packers defense that has given up more yards than any other team in the league this season.  Sounds like a no-brainer at first, but Green Bay's defense is very opportunistic, and leads the league in both total takeaways and interceptions.  LB Clay Matthews and CB Charles Woodson could give Manning a pretty hard time if he's not careful.  It's pretty tempting to pick the Giants, but what hurts their cause is the inconsistency of their running game, which finished dead last in the league this season.  That won't help the G-Men to slow the game down, which will be crucial if they don't want to force Manning to win a gunfight against Rodgers. 
Packers 35, Giants 24. 

AFC Divisional: Texans at Ravens 
Baltimore and Houston play a very similar style of football.  Both have solid defenses that rank in the top four in the league against the run, against the pass, and overall.  On offense, both like to run the football with their Pro Bowl running backs - Arian Foster for the Texans and Ray Rice for the Ravens.  There are, however, a few things that work in Baltimore's favor: 1) Joe Flacco is a much more experienced quarterback than T.J. Yates, 2) the Ravens are undefeated at home this season,  3) they've had the bye week to rest their players, and 4) they're slightly better than the Texans are at stopping the run - an aspect that will be key to either side winning the game.
Ravens 13, Texans 10.  

AFC Divisional: Broncos at Patriots 
The Patriots are like several of the other top teams that still remain in the playoffs - powerful on offense but absolutely shoddy on defense.  I don't even need to mention anything about Tom Brady, but I will note that Rob Gronkowski has really stepped up his game in his second NFL season, breaking the NFL record for tight ends with 17 touchdowns.  Add in WR Wes Welker and backup TE Aaron Hernandez, and Denver's secondary could be in for a heap of trouble, especially with safety Brian Dawkins still out.  But there's nothing to say that the Broncos can't win this one either, especially after the show that QB Tim Tebow put on last Sunday against the Steelers' top-ranked defense.  Denver certainly has the ability to slow things down with their top-ranked run game, which is powered by both Tebow and RB Willis McGahee, and their defense, led by DE Elvis Dumervil and rookie LB Von Miller, is much better than New England's, which is second-to-last in the league both overall and against the pass.  However, the Broncos will be without their top receiver, Eric Decker, and they have not been able to take charge late in games like they did earlier in the season - they did, after all, blow a 14-point lead last week and had to win it in overtime.  I don't like either team's chances in this game, but since I have to pick a team, I'm going to pick New England. 
Patriots 28, Broncos 20.  

One final thought before I go: Anyone notice that if Aaron Rodgers had thrown those six touchdown passes against the Lions in Week 17 instead of Matt Flynn, he would have broken Tom Brady's record for most touchdown passes in a season?

Stay frosty, y'all! 

B-)

Saturday, January 7, 2012

NFL Wild Card Playoff Predictions

The playoffs are finally here!  Time for me to make my picks for the Wild Card round this weekend. 

NFC Wild Card: Falcons at Giants 
Just like last year, the Falcons have been one of those teams that you don't really hear much about, yet are still playing well enough to get into the postseason.  QB Matt Ryan now has an additional target in rookie WR Julio Jones to go along with Roddy White.  In order to win this one, however, they'll need to get some good yardage out of RB Michael Turner, the league's third-leading rusher, in order to take some of the pressure off Ryan that the Giants' formidable pass rush will bring.  New York's defense, led by Pro Bowl DE Jason Pierre-Paul (16.5 sacks) and DE's Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora, is third in the NFL with 48 sacks this season.  The Giants can also match Atlanta's high-octane passing offense yard for yard.  Eli Manning has been the comeback kid this season, having led his team to five come-from-behind victories in the fourth quarter this season, and WR Victor Cruz has emerged as a key playmaker for the Giants.  Atlanta has the advantage on both offense and defense, but New York has gotten hot at the right time, and Manning knows how to finish strong and win when it counts.  Expect another game-winning fourth quarter drive from the Giants. 
Giants 24, Falcons 21.  

NFC Wild Card: Lions at Saints 
Expect a shootout in the Superdome as two 5000-yard passers square off on Saturday night.  The Saints' Drew Brees broke Dan Marino's long-held single-season passing yardage record with 5476 yards.  But Brees is quick to give credit where it's due, as he has plenty of reliable receivers in WR Marques Colston and Pro Bowl TE Jimmy Graham, as well as a solid offensive line with three Pro Bowlers - Jarhi Evans, Jermon Bushrod, and Carl Nicks - to protect him.  For the Lions, it's been a long time coming, but they've finally made the playoffs for the first time since 1999.  Leading the charge for Detroit are QB Matthew Stafford, who is finally healthy and having his best season yet with 5038 passing yards, and WR Calvin "Megatron" Johnson, the NFL's leading receiver.  Both of these teams rank in the lower half of the league in defense, so this will definitely be a high-scoring game.  The running game will make the biggest difference for either side, and that's where New Orleans has the advantage, averaging about 40 more yards per game on the ground.  Not to mention that the Saints are undefeated at home this season.  It's been a great season for the Lions, but I'm afraid their long-awaited playoff run will be short-lived. 
Saints 41, Lions 35.  

AFC Wild Card: Bengals at Texans 
The Bengals have been one of the biggest surprises this season, having made the postseason when most thought they wouldn't even have a winning record.  Rookie QB Andy Dalton is a proven leader on the field, and WR A.J. Green made the Pro Bowl in his rookie season.  The running back tandem of Cedric Benson and Bernard Scott balances out Cincinnati's offense.  The Bengals' strength, however, is in their defense, which ranked seventh in the league.  The Texans, who are making their first playoff appearance in franchise history, have an excellent defense of their own.  Led by Pro Bowl CB Jonathan Joseph, LB's Brian Cushing, Demeco Ryans, and Connor Barwin; and DE J.J. Watt, Houston's defense ranks second overall, third against the pass, and fourth against the run.  They also pack quite a punch on offense.  Rookie T.J. Yates has filled in admirably at QB for the injured Matt Schaub, and he'll finally have a healthy Andre Johnson to throw to.  RB's Arian Foster and Ben Tate lead a rushing attack that ranks second only to Denver's.  Look for both teams to try to pound it out on the ground throughout most of the game.  The key difference in this game is that the Bengals have yet to show that they can beat a playoff-caliber team - they've gone 0-7 in that regard - whereas Houston has already done so on three occasions this season. 
Texans 10, Bengals 7.  

AFC Wild Card: Steelers at Broncos 
The most talked-about player in the NFL this year has been Broncos quarterback Tim Tebow.  Unless you only started following the NFL last week, you probably already know about Tebow's fourth-quarter heroics and Denver's six-game winning streak.  But the Broncos have struggled in their last three games, and Tebow has never faced a defense like Pittsburgh's, which is tops in the league despite the early-season worries of critics who said that they were getting too old.  The Steelers have a lot of concerns heading into Mile High, the biggest one being the health of Pro Bowl QB Ben Roethlisberger, who re-aggravated a high ankle sprain last week.  They will also be without RB Rashard Mendenhall, who suffered a season-ending ACL tear last week; All-Pro C Maurkice Pouncey (ankle injury); and FS Ryan Clark, whose sickle-cell trait prevents him from playing in Denver's high altitude.  With his play-making mobility limited, Roethlisberger will need to be able to get rid of the ball quickly, whether it's by handing it off to backup RB Isaac Redman, or by making short throws to his speedy Pro Bowl wide receivers, Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown.  (It worked against the Patriots, so it should work against Denver as well.)  In any case, he can't afford to hold on to the ball too long, as the Broncos boast a very fearsome pass rush.  LB Von Miller is the front-runner for Defensive Rookie of the Year, and has combined with DE Elvis Dumervil for 21 sacks this season.  The Broncos will also rely on their running game, which led the league this season thanks to both Tebow and RB Willis McGahee.  However, if the Steelers' run defense can contain them and force Tebow to throw the ball more, the Broncos could be in a heap of trouble.  Tebow has not been very good in the passing game, and Pittsburgh boasts the top pass defense in the NFL, led by All-Pro SS Troy Polamalu.  LB's Lamar Woodley and James Harrison could wreak havoc on Denver's O-line, which will be without a key piece in G Chris Cuper.  This game could go either way; it will all come down to who steps up their game and who wants it more. 
Steelers 17, Broncos 13. 

Friday, January 6, 2012

NFL 2011 Season Wrap-Up

Just some final thoughts on the 2011 NFL season before the playoffs start. 

I'll start off this post by reflecting on the biggest surprises of the past season:
  • The 49ers.  A huge turnaround on both sides of the ball for a team that looked just plain out of it last season.  Most of the credit goes to first-year head coach Jim Harbaugh, who should be a shoe-in for Coach of the Year. 
  • The Bengals.  No one expected Cincinnati to even have a winning record, let alone be in the playoffs, but once the Bengals jettisoned QB Carson Palmer and trouble-making WR's Terrell Owens and Chad Ochocinco, they found the team chemistry that they had been lacking in 2010.  Like the 49ers, the Bengals' turnaround can be attributed to the major improvement in the play of their defense this season.  
  • The Seahawks and the Cardinals.  Both of these teams got off to bad starts this season and couldn't catch San Francisco for the division, but they somehow found that spark in the second half of the season and went on winning streaks.  Seattle RB Marshawn Lynch was an absolute beast this season, and CB/KR Patrick Peterson gives Arizona a lot to look forward to in the next few years.  
  • The Chiefs.  They looked done for the season when they lost Matt Cassell, Jamaal Charles, and Eric Berry, but they stayed in contention for most of the season thanks to their surprisingly stingy defense, and even managed to hand the Packers their only loss of the season.  I see nothing but a bright future for this team.  
  • The Panthers.  How about that Cam Newton?  Holy smokes!  If Carolina can just patch up its defense - an easy thing to do in the draft these days - they could be the team to beat pretty soon. 
  • And of course, the Broncos.  Most of the hype during Denver's six-game winning streak has been about Tim Tebow, but the Broncos also owe their turnaround in part to their defense, led by DE Elvis Dumervill and LB Von Miller, the frontrunner for Defensive Rookie of the Year. 
And now, the biggest disappointments of this season:
  • The Eagles.  With all of the talent on defense that they signed in the offseason to complement their explosive offense, everyone thought Philly would be the team to beat this year.  Unfortunately, their passing game was hampered by both Michael Vick's injuries and DeSean Jackson's seeming lack of effort at times, and by the time the defense finally started to play up to expectations, it was just too little too late.  
  • The Chargers.  This was the team I was picking to win the Superbowl this year.  They already had the talent on both offense and defense, but their abysmal special teams never improved, and Philip Rivers finished near the top of the league in interceptions.  There's still hope for them next year, but I expected much better from them this year.  
  • The Rams.  They came close to winning the NFC West last season thanks to Rookie of the Year Sam Bradford, and were favored by many to win the division this year.  However, Bradford's performance regressed in the few games he played before being sidelined by injuries, and the Rams finished at or near the bottom of the league in almost every category on offense and defense.  
  • The Jets.  It started with Mark Sanchez's controversial photo shoot for GQ, and snowballed from there.  The absence of team chemistry became more and more apparent as the season went on, and resulted in a disappointing finish for a team that I thought had the talent to win the AFC East.  
  • The Buccaneers.  Hopes were high in Tampa after the Bucs posted 10 wins last season.  Those hopes were soon dashed midway through the season as QB Josh Freeman failed to show any consistency and the defense failed to live up to its potential.  
  • The Bills.  They got off to a good start and looked pretty promising, but fell apart midway through the season and won only one game in the second half of the season.
Finally, the final results of my game predictions.  I went 12-4 in the final week of the season, giving me an overall record of 166-90, or 64.8 %. 

Tune in tomorrow for my predictions for the Wild Card round.  Till then, stay frosty, y'all!  B-)

Saturday, December 31, 2011

NFL Week 17 Predictions

This is it.  Just one week to go, and there's still so much to be determined.  Seven teams are still fighting for the three remaining playoff spots (AFC West and NFC East divison champions and the last AFC wild card spot), and seven more teams are already on their way to the postseason but are still playing for better seeding.  Who will step up, and who will crumble under the pressure? 

It's been a heck of a ride this season, and there's been plenty of surprises along the way.  It turns out I haven't been quite as good at predicting the results of games this season as I thought I would be, but I still did a pretty decent job - I've gotten 154 right to 86 wrong (11-5 last week), for a score of 64.2 %.  Not bad for my first full season, doncha think? 

And now, without further ado, my picks for the final week of the season: 

Lions over Packers
  • With the NFC's top seed locked up and no perfect season to play for, the injury-riddled Packers will probably take it easy this week.  The Lions have already clinched their first playoff appearance in over a decade, but still need a win or a loss by the Falcons to take the fifth seed and avoid a trip to New Orleans or San Francisco in the first round.  
Titans over Texans
  • It's interesting how Houston, which is locked in as the AFC's third seed, could have somewhat of a role in determining which team they will face in first round of the playoffs.  Tennessee needs a win for a playoff appearance to even be a possibility.  The Texans, who blew a lead to the Colts on a last-minute touchdown last week for their second loss in a row, must decide whether they need to rest their players or try to build momentum heading into the playoffs.  
Jaguars over Colts
  • What kind of Gatorade have the Colts been drinking lately?  Can you believe they've actually won two in a row?  If I didn't know any better, and hadn't seen them lose their first thirteen games of the season, I'd say Indy was just as much of a playoff contender as anyone.  Regardless, MJD and the Jags will give them a fresh taste of reality - and with it, the top draft pick - this week.  
Dolphins over Jets
  • Tough break for the 'Fins last week against New England, but at least they looked like they still had some fight in them.  The same can't be said for the Jets, who have just looked pitiful the last few weeks.  
Bears over Vikings
  • It's been a disappointing season for Chicago, but they'll end it on a good note against the Vikes, who will once again be without Adrian Peterson.  Though I gotta say, Joe Webb might merit some consideration for a starting quarterback position with another team next season, if not in Minnesota.  
Patriots over Bills
  • Where these two teams are at now is a far cry from what we saw the last time these two teams met.  Though if the Bills play anything like they did against Denver last week, it could make for a very interesting playoff situation as far as the Pats are concerned.  
Panthers over Saints
  • This one's pretty tough to call, since we don't know if the Saints will start Drew Brees at quarterback or rest him for a likely playoff game next week.  If the Saints' 2009 season is any indication, I'd say Brees probably won't be playing on Sunday.  On the other side, Cam Newton has given Panthers fans a lot to look forward to next season, having already broken Peyton Manning's rookie record for passing yardage.  How about that... we might see a battle of two record holders... or not.  We'll see... 
Eagles over Redskins
  • Typical Rex Grossman - shows some flashes of brilliance, then just goes right back to losing.  The Eagles could've been contenders with the way they've been playing lately, but it's just too little too late for them.  
49ers over Rams
  • Niners clinch a first-round bye.  Nothing to see here, people.  Movin' on...
Seahawks over Cardinals
  • Seven wins won't get you the NFC West this year.  But this should still be an interesting game to watch, as both of these teams have been on a roll lately.  I can't believe Seattle RB Marshawn Lynch didn't make the Pro Bowl with the season he's having. 
Falcons over Buccaneers 
  • Like the Lions, Atlanta is also locked into a wild-card spot and is only playing for position.  I don't think that will help Tampa any.  
Ravens over Bengals
  • A battle of two teams that are about evenly matched on both sides of the ball, with a lot at stake for both sides.  Baltimore can clinch the AFC North with a win, while a Bengals victory would give them the last wild-card spot in the AFC.  The Ravens have struggled in Cincy the last few years, but when there's been playoff implications involved, they've gotten down to business.  Expect nothing different from them on Sunday, though the Bengals will no doubt make this a game worth watching - even if you're a Steelers fan just catching glimpses of it during commercial breaks.  
Steelers over Browns
  • There's talk that Big Ben might be back under center for the Black and Gold on Sunday.  I'm still not sure if that's a good idea, but if he can practice without too much trouble, I guess he can play, though they should give him time to heal while they still have it.  There's no guarantee that Baltimore will give them the division and the first-round bye that comes with it.  As far as the game goes, all the Steelers need to do is run the ball, and they'll be fine.  
Chiefs over Broncos
  • Losing to the Patriots, I can understand.  But losing to the Bills?  Looks like the magic may have finally run out for Tim Tebow and the Broncos, and it'll take a lot more than prayer to beat the Chiefs' stingy defense.  
Raiders over Chargers
  • The Chargers are a hard team to figure out.  You look at the way they dispatched Baltimore, and then you look at the way they got shredded by the Lions, and you're not sure what kind of team you're going to see this Sunday.  Other than in rushing offense, San Diego has the advantage over Oakland both offensively and defensively, but then you look at the Raiders' success on special teams - an area that's still a trouble spot for the Chargers - and you change your mind.  I think this one's going to be a matter of who wants it more, and from what I saw from both teams last week, I have to give this one to Oakland.  
Giants over Cowboys
  • Give Tony Romo credit for the job he's done this season, but there's only so much you can do with all those injuries - especially his bruised hand from last week.  Eli Manning leads yet another fourth-quarter surge to give the G-Men the win and the NFC East crown.  
As an added bonus, here's my predictions for how the playoffs would turn out given my picks for this week:

AFC Wild Card: Bengals over Texans, Steelers over Raiders
NFC Wild Card: Saints over Falcons, Lions over Giants
AFC Divisional: Bengals over Patriots, Ravens over Steelers
NFC Divisional: Packers over Lions, 49ers over Saints
AFC Championship: Ravens over Bengals
NFC Championship: 49ers over Packers
Superbowl XLVI: Ravens over 49ers

Stay frosty, y'all, and have a happy and safe New Year!  Remember, know your limits, wear your seat belt, and don't drink and drive! 

*<B-)_@

Wednesday, December 21, 2011

NFL Week 16 Predictions

Isn't the end of the world not supposed to happen until next December?  Because it sure seemed like it came a year early this past week.  The Packers lost for the first time this season; the Colts finally won one; the Ravens, Steelers, and Texans all laid an egg; and Tim Tebow and the Broncos were finally brought down to earth.  What sort of surprises are in store for this Christmas weekend? 


As I've said before, I usually avoid posting my picks early in the week, but I'm making an exception this week for two reasons.  First, since Christmas falls on a Sunday this year, all of the afternoon games will be played on Saturday.  Secondly, my girlfriend is coming up to visit for the weekend, so I'm getting my predictions done early so I have the entire weekend to spend with her.  So here goes...


Last week: 10-6
Season to date: 143-81 (63.8 %)


Texans over Colts
  •  Things should return to the status quo this week. 
Ravens over Browns
  • You can't really blame the Ravens for their loss at San Diego last week.  The Chargers have a strong history of winning games in December.  The Browns, sadly, don't. 
Broncos over Bills
  •  The Bills don't have a prayer, and no amount of Tebowing will help, as the Broncos bounce back from a rare home loss to New England. 
Panthers over Buccaneers
  •  The Panthers continued to surprise last week with an upset win over the Texans.  Tampa just continued to implode. 
Bengals over Cardinals
  • Arizona's been on a roll lately with John Skelton leading the way, but I don't think they'll be able to handle the cold weather of Cincinnati, not to mention the Bengals' defense.  
Chiefs over Raiders
  • Chalk another one up to the Chiefs' defense. 
Patriots over Dolphins
  •  With Matt Moore now at quarterback instead of Chad Henne, the Dolphins will make this a closer game than they had against the Pats in Week 1, but I don't think they'll have enough to outgun New England's offense. 
Giants over Jets
  • Which New York team will lay the bigger egg on Saturday?  
Steelers over Rams
  • Pittsburgh blew a golden opportunity to overtake Baltimore for the division lead thanks to Ben Roethlisberger's four turnovers.  If I were Mike Tomlin, I'd sit Roethlisberger for the next two weeks.  I highly doubt Baltimore will slip up again, which means the Steelers will most likely have to play in the first round, so they should give Big Ben some time to rest while they still can so he's healthy for the playoffs.  Besides, they've only got St. Louis and Cleveland left on the schedule, and they're facing the NFL's worst run defense this week, so it shouldn't matter who's starting at quarterback.  Just a thought...
Jaguars over Titans
  •  With a loss to the previously winless Colts last week, the Titans are fading fast. 
Redskins over Vikings
  •  The 'Skins looked like they did at the start of the season last week against the Giants.  Rex Grossman torches the Viking's non-existent secondary this Saturday.  (Gee, never thought I'd be saying that!) 
Lions over Chargers
  • It's kinda hard to bet against San Diego after the way they handled the Ravens last Sunday, and they usually play really well in December, but let's see how they deal with playing on the road against a team that's been playoff-starved for the last decade.  
Eagles over Cowboys
  • Hard to believe, but the Eagles still have a pretty good shot at the playoffs, and they're playing like their hungry.  Dallas finds a way to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory once again.  
49ers over Seahawks
  • The NFC West is full of surprises.  Seattle has won three in a row and still has a long shot at a wild card spot, but the Niners have just been playing lights-out on defense.  I've got a feeling it's gonna be a Harbaugh Superbowl this year.  
Packers over Bears
  •  So much for a perfect season.  No matter, the Packers will bounce back and clinch home-field advantage against the injury-depleted Bears. 
Saints over Falcons
  • The Falcons have the better defense, but you can bet Saints QB Drew Brees will be fired up for this one, with a chance to break Dan Marino's passing record  with a week to spare.  He needs just a little over 300 yards.  
Have a Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!  Stay frosty, y'all! 

B-)  

Tuesday, December 20, 2011

Check Me Out!

Why do stores have so many checkout counters but only two or three of them open at a time?  I was at Wal-Mart this afternoon to finish up my Christmas shopping, and I still had to wait in line because only about half of the more than twenty checkout aisles had a cashier working at them.  You'd think that, it being so close to Christmas and lots of people rushing to finish their last-minute shopping, they'd have more cashiers manning the counters. 

I see this at pretty much every store I go to, and some places are worse than others.  For instance, when I go to Bi-Lo to do my grocery shopping, there's usually only two or three checkout counters open (is it because I usually do my shopping in the evening?), at least one of which is the express lane, which I usually can't use because I have more than 15 items in my cart.  The other lane usually has a backlog of more customers who also had too many groceries to use the express lane, so I end up waiting in line for quite a while - which is partly why I ride my bike instead of taking the bus anymore. Granted, I could just go to one of those self-checkout machines, but those things are annoying as hell to use.  They don't give me enough space to bag my items, and when I try to put one of the bags in my cart, it starts yelling at me to put the items back, prompting me to cry out in exasperation, "STOP YELLING AT ME!"  (Protip: Find the "Mute" button before you start checking out.) 

But back to my original topic - why do stores even bother installing that many checkout counters if they're just gonna leave half of them empty?  Not only does it create backlogs at the registers, but it also means extra work for the customer because they have to try to spot an open register within the labyrinth of empty aisles they've created and traverse halfway across the store to actually find one (never mind trying to determine which aisle you can get through quickest, because they're usually spread so far apart).  Do they just not have enough people to work all the registers?  If that's the case, I don't know why places like Bi-Lo don't want to give me a job, unless they can't afford to, in which case, why did they even install all those extra aisles in the first place?  It's yet another enigma the world may never really understand...

Hope those of y'all out there in Reader Land get all your last-minute Christmas shopping done in plenty of time for the holidays without any hassles.  Stay frosty, y'all (though at this time of year, not literally!) 

B-)

Thursday, December 15, 2011

NFL Week 15 Predictions

I'll be quick with my Thursday Night pick, since I'm currently sitting in the Greenville-Spartanburg Airport after having been up all night packing for my trip home, and I'd like to try to catch a few winks before my flight.

Falcons over Jaguars
  • The Jags have the better defense overall, but Atlanta excels at stopping the run (they're fifth in the league), which is about the only thing Jacksonville's got going for them on offense.  Which means that if Maurice Jones-Drew can't get anywhere, it'll be up to Blaine Gabbert to carry the Jags.  But a dome is no place for a visiting rookie quarterback, so I'm giving the Falcons this one.  On a side note, this will be Atlanta head coach Mike Smith's first game against his former team, where he was the defensive coordinator for five seasons.  
The rest of my picks for this week will be on their way once I've arrived in Pennsylvania.  Til then, stay frosty, y'all!

B-)
______
UPDATE, 12/17/11: Well, I made it to Pennsylvania in one piece, albeit rather exhausted.  Now that I'm well-rested, it's time to make my picks for the weekend.  Last week, I was 12-4, which puts me at 133-75 (63.9 %) for the season. 

Cowboys over Buccaneers
  • The Cowboys are still in the thick of the playoff race; they've just had a few unfortunate bounces this season.  The Bucs, however, have just been flat all season. 
Dolphins over Bills
  • "A young Don Shula"?  Sounds a little far-fetched to me.  Next thing you know, the Dolphins will be asking for Dan Marino to come back!  I kid, of course.  Getting serious again - Chan Gailey could be the next coach to go if the Bills don't get their act together fast, which I doubt they will this week, even against a Dolphins team that's probably starting J.P. Losman at quarterback.  The Dolphins have been stellar at stopping the run this season, which will force the Bills to rely on Ryan Fitzpatrick's arm to win the game.  No matter who you're picking, this one ain't gonna be pretty.  
Seahawks over Bears
Texans over Panthers
  • Who is this T.J. Yates?  
Titans over Colts
Packers over Chiefs
  • I'm eating my words about the Chiefs keeping Todd Haley for another season after he was fired on Monday.  It's funny how there's been talk of Bill Cowher being a candidate for the Dolphins' head coaching job, because I think he'd find a better fit in Kansas City, where they've already got an established quarterback and running back (albeit currently out with injuries) and a not-too-shabby defense.  But any speculation that Cowher would even return to coaching at all is just that - speculation.  Meanwhile, on the other sideline... How are the Packers giving up the second-most yards per game in the league, yet still managing to stay undefeated?  Sure, it helps to have an offense that scores the most points per game, but that's not the real reason Green Bay is so good.  The Packers also lead the league in takeaways with 32 (27 interceptions, 5 fumble recoveries).  
Saints over Vikings
  • Drew Brees needs just 250 yards a game to break Dan Marino's passing yardage record.  That shouldn't be a problem for a quarterback who's regularly had 300-yard games this season, and facing a secondary like Minnesota's certainly helps.  The Vikes might get some good news this week with the possible return of Adrian Peterson.  
Giants over Redskins
  • I'm tempted to pick Washington after the way they held their own against the Patriots, but Eli Manning and the Giants' offense have been one of the best in the league during the fourth quarter, and the Redskins have had to shuffle players around on their offensive line.  
Bengals over Rams
  • It's been a tough stretch for the Bengals lately, but there's no reason for them to lose to a team as pitiful as the Rams.  
Lions over Raiders
  • Both of these teams have been falling apart down the stretch.  The Lions get a little help this week with the return of Ndamukong Suh. 
Cardinals over Browns
  • I'm not sure what the worse problem for the Browns will be: Colt McCoy's concussion, or the heap of trouble that the coaching staff could be in for the way they handled it last week. 
Broncos over Patriots
  • This will be the biggest test of the season for Denver.  If their running game can keep doing its thing and pile up yards on the ground, the Broncos can keep Tom Brady off the field and give themselves a pretty good chance to win.  The Patriots have won in Denver only twice in the last forty years.  
Eagles over Jets
  • The Jets have won three in a row and currently hold the last playoff spot in the AFC, but I've got the feeling that the Eagles will catch them off guard this week, as they have been wont to do this season.  Philly is 8-0 all-time against the Jets.  
Ravens over Chargers
  • San Diego's won two in a row, but both of those wins were against crappy teams.  They haven't faced a defense like Baltimore's. 
49ers over Steelers
  • With LB James Harrison suspended and Ben Roethlisberger nursing a sprained ankle, Pittsburgh's chances are not looking good.  At any rate, expect a low-scoring game, as these two teams are giving up the fewest points per game in the league. 
Stay frosty, y'all!  B-)

Thursday, December 8, 2011

NFL Week 14 Predictions

As the weather turns colder (though less noticeably so here in South Carolina), the playoff picture is starting to come into focus.  Last week, the Packers and the 49ers became the first two teams to clinch a spot in the postseason, and four more teams could have a playoff berth locked down at the end of the day on Sunday.  So let's get right to it.

Last Week: 12-4
Season: 121-71 (63.0 %)

Steelers over Browns
  • Last week's 35-7 rout of the Bengals was just the kind of game that Steelers fans needed to restore their faith in Pittsburgh's ability to play dominant football for a full sixty minutes.  Despite Cleveland's pitiful 4-8 record, Big Ben will have his hands full tonight, as the Browns boast the NFL's top passing defense.  The Steelers' pass defense is a close second, which means this game will be won or lost on the ground.  Rashard Mendenhall found the end zone twice against Cinci's stingy defense, while Peyton Hillis has been hampered by injuries most of this season, not to mention Pittsburgh gives up about 55 less rushing yards per game.  Advantage Steelers.  
More to come.  Stay frosty, y'all!  B-)
______
UPDATE, 12/11/11:  And now for the rest of the weekend:

Ravens over Colts
  • Let's see, Dan Orlovsky against Ray Lewis and Terrell Suggs... This one's like bringing a plastic spoon to a laser gun fight.  Though if the Colts are ever going to win a game this season, now would be the perfect time to do it.   (That's just the Pittsburgh fan in me talking.)  
Falcons over Panthers
  • The Falcons sputtered last week against the Texans and their third-string quarterback.  They'll redeem themselves this week, though that's not to say Cam Newton won't give them a fight.  
Bengals over Texans
  • The Bengals have struggled in recent weeks, but they should regain their hold on a playoff spot with a win over a Houston team that's missing its top two quarterbacks and WR Andre Johnson.  
Lions over Vikings
  • It's fortunate for Detroit that the second half of Ndamukong Suh's two-game suspension comes against the Vikings, who will most likely be without RB Adrian Peterson once again.  QB Christian Ponder is also questionable for Sunday's game.  It just keeps getting worse for Minnesota.  
Jaguars over Buccaneers
  • Maurice Jones-Drew should have plenty of room to run against Tampa Bay's lackluster defense. 
Dolphins over Eagles
  • How's this for a reversal of fortunes?  The Eagles are floundering, while the Dolphins have been on fire lately.  Mike Vick will be back for Philly on Sunday, and who knows, maybe we'll catch another rare sighting of Reggie Bush too.  
Chiefs over Jets
  • The Chiefs might not make the playoffs this year, but at least their defense will help Todd Haley to keep his job for another season.  Just wait until Pro Bowl safety Eric Berry comes back next year, then they'll really be something fierce!  
Saints over Titans
  • I kept flip-flopping on this pick until I finally decided to just go with my first guess and pick the Saints.  Sure, their defense isn't that great, but they're much better at stopping the run than the pass, which works in their favor considering that Tennessee should be relying more and more on its running game now that RB Chris Johnson is starting to look like his old self again.  And it's pretty hard to pick against the top offense in the league and a quarterback who's on pace to break Dan Marino's single-season yardage record.  
Patriots over Redskins
49ers over Cardinals
Broncos over Bears
  • The Bears might be able to slow down Denver's running game, but they've got absolutely nothing going for them on offense with Caleb Hanie at quarterback and RB Matt Forte likely done for the season.  
Packers over Raiders
  • The Packer's hopes of a perfect season came as close as they've ever been to being dashed to pieces last Sunday against the Giants, but they still came out with the W.  They've got it a little easier this week against the Raiders' defense.  For Oakland to pull off the upset, their offense will need to chip away at Green Bay's defense in order to keep Aaron Rodgers off the field as much as possible.  
Chargers over Bills
Giants over Cowboys
  • The G-Men put up quite a fight against the undefeated Packers last week.  I like their chances in Big D on Sunday night.  And speaking of D, this game features the two teams in the NFC with the most sacks, so if you're a fan of hard-hitting, smash-mouth football, this is definitely the one to watch.  
Seahawks over Rams
  • The 'Hawks have had a pretty disappointing season, but they've managed to pull some upset wins out of their butts every once in a while.  RB Marshawn Lynch has been a beast for Seattle this season, and he should put up some big numbers against a banged-up St. Louis team that's dead last in run defense.  It's anyone's guess who'll be starting at quarterback for the Rams on Monday night. 
Stay frosty, y'all! 

B-)

Thursday, December 1, 2011

NFL Week 13 Predictions

December means crunch time for a lot of people.  For college students, it means cramming for late-semester tests and final exams.  For many families, it means lots of frantic preparation and shopping for Christmas.  And for NFL teams, its do or die as the fight for the playoffs nears its exciting conclusion.  By this point, it's easy to see who most of the contenders and pretenders are.  Which teams will step up their game this week and make their case for a place in the postseason?

Thanksgiving weekend turned out to be a pretty good weekend for me, and not just because I got to spend a lot of time with my girlfriend and her family and take a trip to Asheville.  Last week was without a doubt my best week this season when it came to predicting the games, as I went an impressive 14-2 (2-1 on Thanksgiving Day, 13-1 the rest of the week) to bring me to 109-67 (61.9 %) on the season.  Like I've been doing the last few weeks, I'm just going to post my pick for Thursday's game tonight and get the rest later in the week.

Eagles over Seahawks
  • Both of these teams have been pretty disappointing this season, though Philadelphia undoubtedly more so because of all the talented players on defense that they signed.  But given the state of Seattle's offense - 30th in the league - not even an Eagles team that's been under-performing on defense, will once again be without starting QB Michael Vick, and had to bench star WR DeSean Jackson last week for his lackadaisical performance, should have any problems coming out of this one with a win.  Vince Young may well have been Philly's best acquisition this season.  
Stay tuned for Sunday's and Monday's picks, and stay frosty, y'all!

B-)
_______
UPDATE, 12/04/11: I would have had this up sooner, but there was a power outage in Clemson this evening that couldn't have happened at a more inopportune time - during the ACC Championship Game!  At least my Tigers won, though I would've liked to have been able to see all the action.  Movin' on...

Titans over Bills
  • Tennessee's got a pretty good opportunity this week to gain some ground on Houston for the AFC South title against a Buffalo team that's lost four in a row.  
Chiefs over Bears
  • Is it just me, or are there a lot more starting quarterbacks getting sidelined this season?  Regardless, the offense in this game is not going to be pretty with Tyler Palko (or perhaps Kyle Orton starting against his former team) and Caleb Hanie running the show for each side.  I'm going with Kansas City because their defense looked pretty darn good last week against Pittsburgh and kept them in the game til the very end.  
Falcons over Texans
  • Houston's down to its third-string quarterback, rookie T.J. Yates.  They'll need a mighty big performance from RB Arian Foster to pull this one off.  
Raiders over Dolphins
  •  The 'Fins may not have gotten the win over Dallas last week, but they certainly hung in there.  I'm still picking the Raiders to win this one, but I gotta say that with Matt Moore leading the charge, Miami could really do some damage in the near future. 
Broncos over Vikings
  •  With Vikes RB Adrian Peterson again questionable, the only thing that'll be "All Day" in the Metrodome will be Tebowmania. 
Patriots over Colts
  • I really don't get all this talk of the Colts trading Peyton Manning.  He should be healthy again next season, and I'm pretty sure he's still another good year or two left in him.  I'm trying to imagine what it would have been like if the Penguins had traded Sidney Crosby after he was out for almost a year... 
Steelers over Bengals
  • The word in the street is that both SS Troy Polamalu and LB LaMarr Woodley will be playing on Sunday.  The Steelers will need both of them against a Bengals team that's only one game behind them.  On an unrelated note, I didn't know Pacman Jones was still playing in the NFL. 
Panthers over Buccaneers
  • The Bucs have lost five in a row, and QB Josh Freeman is ailing.  I like Carolina's chances here. 
Jets over Redskins
  • Rex Grossman had a rare flash of brilliance for the 'Skins last week.  I wouldn't count on a repeat performance this week against the Jets, who haven't exactly been the picture of consistency, either.  
Ravens over Browns
  • Baltimore's got more firepower on offense, but Cleveland's top-ranked pass defense could make this game closer that it might seem.  
Cowboys over Cardinals
  • Kevin Kolb's back at QB for the Cards.  Not that it'll help them much... 
Packers over Giants
  • Is there any stopping Aaron Rodgers and the Pack?  I could see the G-men pulling off the upset.  Then again, that's what I said about Detroit last week.  
49ers over Rams
  • With Rams QB Sam Bradford questionable - and St. Louis struggling anyway - the Niners will finally clinch the NFC West this week.  
Saints over Lions
  • With DT Ndamukong Suh serving a two-game suspension, the Lions don't stand much of a chance against the Saints' offensive juggernaut.  It's a shame that one player's stupidity could very well cost his team a playoff spot, because Detroit started the season so well.  
Chargers over Jaguars
  • Jack Del Rio became the first coaching casualty of the season last week.  Norv Turner might be next, but I'm pretty sure he'll live to coach another week after this match.  Remember when Monday Night games used to be interesting? 

Saturday, November 26, 2011

NFL Week 12 Predictions

With most of the leftovers from Thanksgiving dinner safely digested (hopefully!), we can now turn our attention to the rest of this week's NFL games.  I went 9-5 last week and 2-1 on Thanksgiving Day, which puts me at 97-66 (59.5 %) this season so far. 

Falcons over Vikings
Bengals over Browns
Panthers over Colts
  •  Not even a bad defense can doom Carolina's chances of winning this week.  Cam Newton should make short work of a Colts defense that has given up more points than any other team in the league this season. 
Texans over Jaguars
  • The race for the AFC South got a little more interesting this week after Texans QB Matt Schaub went down for the season with a foot injury, leaving Houston's playoff hopes in the hands of Matt Leinart.  The good news for the Texans is that not only will WR Andre Johnson be returning, but their top-ranked defense will be up against the league's worst offense. 
Jets over Bills
  •  Both of these teams have faltered lately, but the Jets have already shown that they can bounce back from a slump.  This game could very well make or break the once-promising Bills' playoff chances. 
Cardinals over Rams
Titans over Buccaneers
Raiders over Bears
  • With QB Jay Cutler done for the season with a thumb injury, the Bears won't be able to match the Raiders' offense.  Oakland's running game has been absolutely phenomenal this season. 
Seahawks over Redskins
Patriots over Eagles
Broncos over Chargers
  • With the Chargers faltering, and the Chiefs plagued by yet another season-ending injury, the Broncos just might be the dark-horse candidate to edge out Oakland for the AFC West title.  Maybe Tim Tebow was just the shot in the arm that Denver needed.  
Steelers over Chiefs
  • The Chiefs just can't catch a break, can they?  Not only have they lost RB Jamaal Charles and S Eric Berry, but now they'll have to ride out the rest of this catastrophe of a season without QB Matt Cassell.  It's now up to Tyler Palko to restore hope to the Kansas City faithful - a daunting task against the Steelers' second-ranked defense.  Then again, with the way Pittsburgh has been playing the last few years, I wouldn't be surprised if the Chiefs pulled off an upset. 
Saints over Giants
  • The Giants have been surprisingly inconsistent this season, and they'll be without RB Ahmad Bradshaw and possibly WR Mario Manningham on Monday night.  That doesn't bode well when you're facing the league's top offense in New Orleans. 

Thursday, November 24, 2011

Halftime Hullabaloo in Detroit

A few weeks ago, all hell broke loose in Detroit when the NFL announced that Nickelback would be performing during halftime of the Lions' Thanksgiving Day game.  There was even a petition started on Change.org by a University of Michigan student to get a different act for the halftime show.  I'd just like to say... Really?  For one thing, that website was intended to be used for legitimate humanitarian purposes, not for something as trivial as who's performing at a halftime show.  More importantly, I'm more than a little miffed about all the bitching from the people of Detroit, because Nickelback happens to be my favorite band, and I'm really looking forward to seeing them perform on Thursday afternoon. 

I haven't seen this much hatred for a musical group since my classmates in middle school taunted me mercilessly because I listened to N*Sync (see "Boy Bands", 29 May 2010), and frankly, I don't understand why.  I know that a lot of their music is about partying, sex, and drugs, but isn't all that and much worse things the main theme of the entire hip-hop genre these days?  Moreover, most of Nickelback's more popular songs, such as "If Everyone Cared" and their newest single "When We Stand Together", are not only absent these kind of adult topics, but are actually pretty meaningful and thought-provoking if you actually listen to the lyrics.  My favorite song has been "Gotta Be Somebody" (which I currently have as my ringtone), because (until recently), it was a song that I could relate to as someone who'd been single all his life.  A lot of people just don't like their style of music, to which I say, hey, that's your opinion.  Different people have different tastes in music, and I respect that, but that's no reason to protest the halftime performance of a football game.  I mean, did anyone in Dallas start a petition to stop the Jonas Brothers (who, in my opinion - and I'm sure a lot of people will back me up on this - sound more like the Jonas Sisters) from performing during the Cowboys' Thanksgiving game in 2008?  No.  So why the big deal now? 

I'm aware of Detroit's rich music history, and I can somewhat understand the desire to have someone local perform at the halftime show, rather than a band from Canada.  But again, look at the halftime performers for the Dallas games in recent years.  Neither Carrie Underwood (Oklahoma), the Jonas Brothers (New Jersey), nor Daughtry (North Carolina) are from Texas, but no one had a problem with any of them performing at halftime.  Not to mention that the Goo Goo Dolls, who performed at Detroit's halftime show in 2007, are from Buffalo, but no one was up in arms then.  So why all the fuss now?  If Detroit really wanted to promote their local music, why did they have the Rolling Stones (who are not even from the U.S., and, at a combined age of over 250, are way too old to be dancing around on stage anyway) perform during halftime of Superbowl XL?  My point is, it's not going to kill the people of Detroit to have an outside artist performing during their Thanksgiving game. 

So to all those folks in Detroit who don't want to see Nickelback perform at halftime this Thanksgiving, I offer these four words:  F@#$%in' deal with it!  If you don't want to hear them, you can just change the channel (or better yet, turn off your TV and enjoy some quality time with loved ones) if you're watching at home; or, if you're at the stadium, use that time to go to the restrooms or the concession stands.  Or maybe even - gasp! - just watch the show, and who knows?  You might actually like one of Nickelback's songs if you give them a chance.  At any rate, the people of Detroit should, in the spirit of Thanksgiving, just be thankful they even get to host a Thanksgiving Day game at all, because with the way the Lions have been playing the last ten years, they don't really deserve to have one! 

Okay, I'm done ranting.  Now I can actually enjoy my Thanksgiving.  In spite of all the hardship I've been through this year, I've got a lot to be thankful for - my health, my family, my friends, my amazing girlfriend, and all of y'all out there in Reader Land who take the time to read my blog.  Have a happy Thanksgiving, and as always, stay frosty, y'all! 

B-)

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

NFL Week 12 Predictions (Special Thanksgiving Edition)

When you think of Thanksgiving, three words that begin with the letter "F" come to mind: food, family, and of course, FOOTBALL!!!  And this Thanksgiving Day, we've actually got some games that are capable of keeping us out of our inevitable food-induced comas, which makes it a little harder for me to make my predictions, but I'll try my best.  So here goes:

Lions over Packers
  • For the first time in over a decade, the Lions are in legitimate contention for the playoffs on Thanksgiving Day.  What makes this game even more exciting is that the undefeated Packers are coming to town.  Both of these teams are very good offensively, but Green Bay's pass defense is second-to-last in the league, which could make for a field day for Matthew Stafford and the Lions.  Call me crazy, but I think I just might smell an upset in the works... 
Cowboys over Dolphins
  • Both of these teams are riding a three-game winning streak, though Miami's might be a little more impressive because they were 0-7 before that.  QB Matt Moore has done a phenomenal job these last few weeks, and the Dolphins have been playing lights-out on defense, having gone three straight games without giving up a touchdown.  However, all three of those wins have come against teams that are bordering on the mediocre (Kansas City, Washington, and Buffalo), so it remains to be seen if the 'Fins really have improved on defense.  Tony Romo has put up some pretty good numbers for the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, but the Dolphins are 5-1 when playing on Turkey Day.  It was a tough decision, but I'm picking Dallas on the strength of their schedule - they're the only team to have beat the 49ers this season, and they've held their own against some of the tougher teams like New England and Detroit.  
Ravens over 49ers
  • As if the other two games weren't tough enough to predict, this Battle of the Brothers Harbaugh had me pondering for quite some time.  If you analyze the offense-versus-defense matchups, the teams balance each other out.  Baltimore has the better passing offense and passing defense, while San Francisco has the better running game and the league's top run defense - not that any of those have been lacking for either side, though.  The Ravens have more sacks, while the Niners have more takeaways.  Ravens LB Ray Lewis is questionable for the game, but Baltimore still held its own without him against the Bengals last week.  In the end, I have to go with John and the Ravens over Jim and the 49ers on account of both experience and home-field advantage.  
Enjoy the games and the food, and have a happy Thanksgiving!  Stay frosty, y'all! 

B-)

Wednesday, November 16, 2011

NFL Week 11 Predictions

Last week, I was 9-7 with my predictions, bringing me to 86-60 (58.9 %) overall.  Onto this week:

Jets over Broncos
  • Denver's strength has been its running game, which is a surprising second in the league.  But with both Willis McGahee and Knowshon Moreno hurt, the Broncos won't have much of a chance against New York's defense.  
Ravens over Bengals
  • Baltimore has a habit of playing down to the level its competition this season.  Which means they should be just fine against Cincinnati, which lost CB Leon Hall for the season and will probably be without WR A.J. Green for a few weeks.  
Jaguars over Browns
  • Interesting Fact: Four of the top six defenses are in the AFC North.  The other two - Houston and Jacksonville - are from the AFC South.  What this means is that this will likely be a low-scoring game between two teams whose offenses are in the league's bottom three.  The Jags have the advantage, though, because they have a decent rushing offense behind Maurice Jones-Drew, while Cleveland's run defense is 30th in the NFL.  
Lions over Panthers
  • The Lions had better get their act together soon, or their fairy-tale start to the season could have a not-so-happy ending.  Fortunately for them, they've got Carolina this week. 
Packers over Buccaneers
  • I doubt the Pack will go undefeated this season, with the schedule they've got for the second half.  But I'm pretty sure they can handle the inconsistent Bucs this week.  The real test will come next Thursday at Detroit on Thanksgiving Day.  
Bills over Dolphins
  • What happened to the Bills?  They started off so well, but they've been stumbling lately.  Though the bigger surprise might be the Dolphins winning two in a row.  This one may not be as one-sided as it might seem. 
Raiders over Vikings
  • The Raiders are only one game ahead of all of the other three teams in the AFC West, but they have a chance to put some distance between themselves and the rest of the division in a game that will feature a lot of running.  
Cowboys over Redskins
  • All of a sudden, the 'Boys are back in the thick of things, while the 'Skins are watching yet another season circle the drain. 
49ers over Cardinals
  • I'm calling it right now - Jim Harbaugh for Coach of the Year.  
Rams over Seahawks
  • Neither of these teams have been much to write home about this season, though the 'Hawks are coming off of an upset win over Baltimore.  My gut tells me to pick the Rams for some odd reason, so that's what I'm gonna do.  
Falcons over Titans
  • If Chris Johnson can keep playing like he did last week, the Titans have a pretty good chance to make the playoffs.  Then again, it was against the Panthers.  I don't see that happening this week against the Falcons, who have one of the league's better run defenses and a more consistent offense.  
Bears over Chargers 
  • Chicago's been a pleasant surprise these last few weeks, especially after beating Detroit.  The Chargers, on the other hand, have been rather disappointing.  Bears kick returner Devin Hester must be looking at San Diego's special teams with the same facial expressions I have when I see a plate full of freshly cooked bacon. 
Giants over Eagles
  • Is it just me, or is NBC biased towards the NFC East?  Because how else are we getting so many Sunday Night games with NFC East teams?  Also, how God-awful do you have to be to lose to Arizona? 
Patriots over Chiefs
  • The Pats have rebounded from their two-game losing streak, while the Chiefs have gone back to losing again.  Another Monday Night no-contest.  Ho-hum...

Thursday, November 10, 2011

NFL Week 10 Predictions

Normally, I don't like to make my picks this early in the week, since there's still plenty of time for late developments like player injuries that can affect the outcome of a game.  But since Thursday Night Football is starting up this week, I have to at least get my prediction for that game posted.  Which I would have done earlier this evening, until I got distracted following the news about the scandal at Penn State and the firing of Joe Paterno.  So here's what I'm gonna do: I'll post my prediction for Thursday's game tonight, then add on to this post later in the week once I have more time and energy.  My loyal readers will just have to trust me that I'm not changing my predictions after the fact.

A quick recap on the standings: Last week, I went a pitiful 7-7 with my predictions.  Or, to be a little more accurate, 7-5 with the predictions I posted, because I somehow forgot to post predictions for the Falcons-Colts and Broncos-Raiders games for some odd reason.  So for the sake of maintaining the integrity of this venture, I'll count those two as incorrect predictions, because to count them as ties would just seem kind of odd.  Which means that I'm now 77-53 (59.2 %) in my predictions so far this season.

And now, onto Thursday night's pick:

Chargers over Raiders
  • Let's face it, neither of these teams' offenses are picture-perfect.  Chargers QB Phillip Rivers leads the league in turnovers, and Carson Palmer has struggled since being thrown into Oakland's starting job two weeks ago.  San Diego has been playing better defense, while Oakland's has struggled this season.  That makes it a tough task for the Raiders' offense, which will be without the services of RB Darren McFadden.  The Raiders beat the Chargers without him last year, but that was back when they still had a decent defense. 
Tune in later this week for the rest of my picks.  Til then, stay frosty, y'all!

B-)
______
UPDATE, 11/12: As promised, here's my picks for the rest of the weekend.  I'm not going into all the details tonight because I haven't been feeling too well this evening and badly need some sleep.  Though if you are curious about why I picked a certain team, you can always leave a comment and I'll try to respond with my rationale tomorrow evening.

Saints over Falcons
Titans over Panthers
Steelers over Bengals
Rams over Browns
Bills over Cowboys
Colts over Jaguars
Broncos over Chiefs
Dolphins over Redskins
Eagles over Cardinals
Texans over Buccaneers
Ravens over Seahawks
Lions over Bears
49ers over Giants
Jets over Patriots
Packers over Vikings

Stay frosty, y'all!

B-)

Saturday, November 5, 2011

NFL Week 9 Predictions

The NFL certainly delivered last week like it always does on Halloween weekend.  There were definitely some thrilling games, like the winless Rams getting an upset win over the Saints and the Steelers toppling Tom Brady and the Patriots.  We also saw a lot of things that were just plain scary, like the Eagles' defense coming back from the dead to rip apart the Cowboys and the Ravens coming back from 21 points down to beat the Cardinals.  And here's something else that's shocking: I only missed two picks last weekend (11-2), bringing my season record to 70-46 (60.3 %).  There's a lot more excitement in store at the midpoint of the season, so let's get right to it.

Bills over Jets
  • Wait... Buffalo's leading the AFC East?  This is why I love the NFL.  Anywho, I'm picking the Bills, since their offense has a little more punch than the Jets' does.  Should be a good show, regardless. 
Texans over Browns
  • There's talk that WR Andre Johnson might be back for the Texans.  Not like they'll need him this week...
Chiefs over Dolphins
  • Just a few weeks ago, the Chiefs looked ready to send Todd Haley packing.  Gotta give him a lot of credit for the job he's done to get Kansas City back on track.  Maybe Tony Sparano could learn a thing or two from him this Sunday. 
Cowboys over Seahawks
  • Tony Romo is his own worst enemy, but with the way the Seahawks are going, even a botched hold on a field goal attempt shouldn't ruin the Cowboys' chances of winning too much. 
49ers over Redskins
  • I remember some experts saying at the beginning of the season that the lockout could have a negative impact on rookie head coaches because they didn't have as much time for their teams to learn their systems.  Guess Jim Harbaugh never got the memo. 
Saints over Buccaneers
  •  That was a pretty epic display of mediocrity last week by a New Orleans office that piled 62 points on the Colts just the week before.  But the Saints should rebound against a Bucs team that's struggling to find its identity, with RB LeGarrette Blount battling an MCL injury and no real big-play wide receivers. 
Bengals over Titans
  • The AFC North race has gotten a little more crowded this season thanks to the Bengals' defense.  The Titans, meanwhile, don't look as tough as they did a few weeks ago.  Where's Chris Johnson when they need him? 
Patriots over Giants
  • It's pretty tough to call this rematch of Superbowl XLII.  Eli Manning's kind of flown under the radar this season, but he's actually got the third highest passer rating in the league, trailing only Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers and his opponent this week, Tom Brady.  Also working in New York's favor is the fact that four of the last five Superbowl rematches were won by the same team that won the Superbowl, with the lone exception being the Bears beating the Superbowl XLI champion Colts in 2008.   New England's pass defense has been struggling this season, none more so than last week at Pittsburgh, but they're pretty good at rebounding from defeat.  Since 2006, not counting playoff games, New England is 16-2 coming off a loss, and 19-3 if you include the playoffs.  
Packers over Chargers
  • These were the two teams I picked to play in the Superbowl, but so far, only the Packers have lived up to my expectations.  The Chargers have gone downhill with back-to-back losses to the Jets and the resurgent Chiefs. 
Rams over Cardinals
  • Both these teams shocked the world last week.  The Rams pulled off a stunning upset over New Orleans, while Arizona let a 21-point lead slip away.  Only one of these one-win teams looks like it's finally got its act together. 
Ravens over Steelers
  • Given the Ravens' struggles the last two weeks - losing to the Jags and having to come back from 21 down against the Cardinals - and the way the Pittsburgh handled the Patriots last week, I'd probably be picking the Steelers to win this rematch in all other circumstances.  But with three of Pittsburgh's four starting linebackers (James Harrison, James Farrior, and Lamar Woodley) not expected to play this weekend... well, let's just say I don't like those odds. 
Eagles over Bears
  • Philly's defense may not necessarily be the "Dream Team" everyone was calling it at the beginning of the season, but they certainly delivered against Dallas last week.  The Bears have been hanging in there this season, but can their defense handle the speed of DeSean Jackson and LeSean McCoy? 

Tuesday, November 1, 2011

Point-Counterpoint: What Makes a Fair-Weather Fan?

So my plan for this evening was to post the pictures from my church's Trunk-or-Treat party last Sunday on my Facebook page.  But once again, I made the stupid mistake of looking through my News Feed before I even started, just for a cursory glance at what my "friends" were up to.  That's when I stumbled upon the following video that was posted by a "friend" of mine who happens to be a Baltimore Ravens fan:



What the guy in the video - who goes by the moniker "Goob" - is trying to prove is that most Pittsburgh Steelers fans are fair-weather fans.  Quite frankly, I'm more than a little insulted by the implication, especially because the interviews in this video that "Goob" conducts with Steelers fans in three bars at NC State prove absolutely nothing.  Therefore, at the risk of sounding like a complete dumb@$$, allow me break things down, one argument at a time, in a little segment I'd like to call "Point-Counterpoint." 

Point: Most of the fans interviewed have never been to a Steelers game, or have even been to Pittsburgh for that matter, and that makes them fair-weather fans.  
Counterpoint:  1) Have you ever considered that, with the economy the way it is, most fans who live far away maybe can't afford to spend their hard-earned money on frivolities such as game tickets and airfare?  2) There are also such things as work and school that also make flying to Pittsburgh and back less of a priority.  3) It can be pretty hard to get tickets when your stadium is nearly filled to capacity every week.  4) It's not our fault if the networks where we live choose not to show the Steelers games.  Before you suggest buying NFL Ticket or something like that, see number (1). 

Point: There's so many Steelers fans who live far away from Pittsburgh, so they clearly just picked the team that was winning at the moment.  
Counterpoint:  Not every Steelers fan who's from outside the Pittsburgh area is a fan by conversion.  Many of these fans were, or are descendants of, workers who were displaced from Pittsburgh when businesses closed and jobs were cut (especially in the steel and coal industries), had to move elsewhere to find work, and brought their sports allegiances with them wherever they went.  That's why the Steeler Nation is everywhere, even outside the U.S.  These fans still stuck with their team even through the lean years. 

Point: Most of the fans interviewed did not seem to be very knowledgeable about the Steelers, so we can automatically assume they're just fair-weather fans.  
Counterpoint: No matter where you go, or what you ask about, I guarantee you're gonna find at least one dummy who can't answer even the most basic trivia questions about the given subject.  Just watch any episode of The Tonight Show when they do  "JayWalking."  For example, there was that one woman who was a history major at Carnegie Mellon, and didn't know who Betsy Ross was.  But I digress.  My point is, I betcha I could go into a Ravens bar and ask random people questions about their team that they couldn't answer.  I grew up a Steelers fan because that's how my parents (who are both from western Pennsylvania, my dad having grown up just a few miles from the 'Burgh) raised me, and there was a lot about the Steelers that I didn't know until I was in high school or college.  And about that guy who went to the game at Three Rivers and referred to their current stadium as "the new Heinz Field" - by "new", he clearly meant "currently in use", not "just opened this season".  He was trying to distinguish the current stadium from the since-demolished previous stadium; he just didn't couldn't find the right choice of words - an innocent mistake that I'm sure happens to everyone.  A simple instance of cerebral flatulence like that does not necessarily make him a fair-weather fan. 

Point: The Steelers fans interviewed said they hate watching their team lose, and criticized Pittsburgh's inconsistent performance this season.  Ergo, they're all fair-weather fans. 
Counterpoint: Of course we hate it when the Steelers lose!  Last time I checked, I don't think there was a fan of any sports team who could say he enjoyed watching his team lose, unless he was pulling a Pete Rose.  There's nothing wrong with expecting a consistent performance from your team from game to game, or constructively criticizing the mistakes that your team makes.  After all, no one's perfect.  There's always room for improvement.  None of the people interviewed said that they were renouncing their allegiance to Pittsburgh if they lost, which is what a fair-weather fan really is. 
  • Rebuttal: But Mike, you switched from being a Pirates fan to a Rays fan.  That sounds pretty fair-weather to me!  
  • Mike's Rebuttal: Let me clarify something.  The reason I stopped being a die-hard Pirates fan was not because they haven't had a winning season in 19 years.  It was because I was fed up with the way the team was being run, particularly with the fact that every time a good player emerged on their team, he would be traded away within a few years for a bunch of minor league so-called "prospects" who never lived up to their potential.  I picked the Rays because, when I'm not rooting for my own teams, I almost always root for the underdogs, hoping that they can overcome their perennial mediocrity and provide that "Cinderella story" kind of inspiration to others.  I also found the Rays an interesting team to follow.  If my sole intention had been to be a fan of a winning team, doncha think I'd have become a Yankees or Phillies fan instead?  And besides, I still support the Pirates and would like to see them win; the only difference now is that I no longer feel guilty about laughing at them when they inevitably fall apart in the middle of the season.  [Am I seriously debating with myself just now?]  
Closing Argument:
I'm not saying that there are no fair-weather fans in Steeler Nation (since my name's not Mike-moud Paul-medinejad).  But as a lifelong Steelers fan who was born and raised outside of the Steel City, I resent the stereotypes that "Goob" insinuates in his little "documentary" about most of us Pittsburgh fans being merely "fair-weather fans."  The arguments made in the above video have little basis in logic whatsoever, because they do not fit the definition of a fair-weather fan, which is a fan who supports a team only when it is highly successful, and renounces said allegiance when that team is not as successful as one would like it to be. 

I, of course, welcome any and all friendly debate on this topic, and encourage those of y'all out there in Reader Land who may disagree with my arguments to comment on my post; all I ask is that you please do so in a respectful and civilized manner. 

Stay frosty, y'all!  And GO STEELERS! 

B-)